{"datasig_trial":true,"message":"Live data — no payment required. Full signals via x402.","signals":{"tariff":{"signal_type":"sourcing_action","version":"v1","hts_code":"9403.20","origin":"CN","signal":"MONITOR_ONLY","urgency":"LOW","confidence":null,"confidence_note":"accuracy ledger: 3 verified predictions (3 correct, 0 incorrect) — too few to derive an accuracy rate","confidence_basis":"Two authoritative sources: USITC HTS Schedule (retrieved 2026-10-19) and five Federal Register documents from 2026-09-02 to 2026-10-07. USTR announcements and news headlines are not directly relevant to HTS 9403.20 from CN.","duty_rate":"Free","summary":"Sourcing metal furniture (HTS 9403.20) from China faces a base duty of Free under the standard schedule, but the Column 2 rate of 45% signals a punitive fallback if normal trade relations are suspended. Recent USTR actions continue the Section 301 four-year review and adjust product exclusions, creating ongoing tariff uncertainty for Chinese-origin goods.","insufficient_data":false,"pricing":{"price_usd":0.015,"tier":"base","upgrade_to_full":"$1.00"},"source":"datasig.ai","payment":"x402","timestamp":"2026-10-19T04:58:06.640108Z","_datasig_cache":{"hit":true,"ttl_seconds":1800,"note":"cached result — DeepSeek not called"},"action_window":"monitor"},"berth_congestion":{"signal_type":"berth_congestion_delta","version":"v2","port":"USLAX","port_name":"Port of Los Angeles","source":"datasig.ai","payment":"x402","timestamp":"2026-10-19T05:16:13.551574Z","signal":"MONITOR_CONGESTION","confidence":null,"confidence_note":"accuracy ledger: 3 verified predictions (3 correct, 0 incorrect) — too few to derive an accuracy rate","confidence_basis":"Single AIS snapshot from USCG receiver network with 90-second collection window; prior reading 24h earlier. No wait-time, berth, or disruption-source data available.","facts":{"port":"USLAX","port_name":"Port of Los Angeles","data_freshness":"live","data_age_hours":0.9,"staleness_warning":null,"vessels_at_anchor":25,"source":"AISstream.io (USCG AIS receiver network)","retrieved":"2026-10-19T04:23:37.131629Z","vessels_at_anchor_delta_24h":2.0,"delta_24h":2.0,"delta_unit":"vessels_at_anchor","pct_change":8.7,"baseline_vessels_at_anchor":23,"baseline_timestamp":"2026-10-18T04:25:09.623184Z","data_source":"background_cache","aisstream_active":true},"inference":{"label":"MODEL_JUDGMENT","assessment":"Vessels at anchor increased from 23 to 25 over 24 hours (+2, +8.7%), well below the +8 threshold and within common sampling variation. Total vessels in area is 44, with 25 at anchor, indicating moderate anchorage occupancy but no acute congestion signal. No weather, labor, or equipment context is present in the verified data to explain the change.","congestion_trend":"stable","blank_sailing_risk":"unknown","disruption_type":"unknown","estimated_resolution_hours":{"min":24,"max":72}},"recommendation":{"action":"MONITOR_CONGESTION","action_rationale":"The +2 vessel delta is positive but far below the +8 threshold and consistent with normal sampling variation, so no booking or reroute trigger is met. Continue monitoring for a sustained increase toward the threshold.","alternative_ports":["USOAK","USSEA"],"urgency":"low","projected_recovery_time":null},"calibration":{"data_freshness":{"data_source":"background_cache","data_age_hours":0.9,"aisstream_active":true,"scheduler_interval_hours":2},"threshold_vessels":8.0,"delta_24h":2.0,"prior_reading_available":true},"pricing":{"tier":"standard","price_usd":0.1,"trigger":"live_verified_delta_with_disruption_type"},"insufficient_data":false,"urgency":"MEDIUM","action_window":"48h"},"blank_sailing":{"signal_type":"blank_sailing_predictor","version":"v1","carrier":null,"service":null,"voyage":null,"origin":"CNSHA","destination":"USLAX","origin_name":"Port of Shanghai","destination_name":"Port of Los Angeles","prediction_window_days":7,"source":"datasig.ai","payment":"x402","timestamp":"2026-10-19T05:16:13.552010Z","signal":"INSUFFICIENT_DATA","reason":"no_verified_carrier_schedule_data","agent_action":"CHECK_CARRIER_DIRECTLY","urgency":"LOW","data_quality":{"carrier_schedules_available":false,"carrier_schedules_rows_for_lane":0,"carrier_schedules_verified_rows":0,"recommendation":"Do not rebook freight based on this signal"},"facts":{"carrier_schedules_available":false,"carrier_schedules_rows_for_lane":0,"carrier_schedules_verified_rows":0},"inference":{"label":"INSUFFICIENT_DATA","assessment":"No verified carrier schedule data exists for this lane. Every stored row is a test fixture, lacks an identified carrier, or has no departure time. A blank sailing probability computed from congestion proxies alone would not be evidence about this carrier's schedule.","blank_sailing_risk":"unknown"},"recommendation":{"action":"CHECK_CARRIER_DIRECTLY","action_rationale":"Confirm sailing status with the carrier. Do not rebook freight based on this signal.","urgency":"low"},"confidence":null,"confidence_note":"accuracy ledger: 3 verified predictions (3 correct, 0 incorrect) — too few to derive an accuracy rate","confidence_basis":"no verified carrier schedule rows; probability not computed","pricing":{"tier":"no_data","price_usd":0.0,"trigger":"no_verified_carrier_schedule_data"},"insufficient_data":true,"action_window":"monitor"},"ila_labor":{"signal_type":"ila_labor_sentiment","version":"v1","signal":"LABOR_STABLE","probability":0.19,"confidence":null,"confidence_note":"accuracy ledger: 3 verified predictions (3 correct, 0 incorrect) — too few to derive an accuracy rate","confidence_basis":"3 of 4 data sources returned data","port":"USNYK","affected_ports":["USNYK","USBLT","USSAV","USORF"],"factors":{"nlrb_filings_30d":0.0,"news_sentiment":0.1,"contract_status":0.5,"strike_auth_vote":0.2},"data_sources":["NewsAPI","Port authority pages (PANYNJ, MPA, GaPorts, PortVA)","ILA.org"],"partial_data":["NLRB API"],"summary":"Verified signals indicate low current ILA labor disruption risk across USNYK, USBLT, USSAV, and USORF. News and ILA.org sources returned no escalation signals, though two of four port advisories contained labor-related keywords, suggesting routine monitoring rather than active conflict. The NLRB data feed was unavailable, leaving a gap in formal filing visibility.","contract_status":"unknown","source":"datasig.ai","payment":"x402","timestamp":"2026-10-19T00:23:06.700194Z","expires_at":"2026-10-19T06:23:06Z","pricing":{"tier":"standard","price_usd":2.0,"trigger":"standard_probability"},"insufficient_data":false,"urgency":"LOW","action_window":"monitor"},"carrier_reliability":{"signal_type":"carrier_reliability","signal":"BOOK_WITH_CONFIDENCE","carrier":"MSC","trade_lane":"CNSHA→USSAV","reliability_score":79,"reliability_level":"MEDIUM","trend":"improving","confidence":null,"confidence_note":"accuracy ledger: 3 verified predictions (3 correct, 0 incorrect) — too few to derive an accuracy rate","prediction_window_days":30,"prediction_valid_until":"2026-11-17","facts":{"sea_intel":{"on_time_pct":68.7,"source":"Sea-Intelligence","data_type":"scrape"},"ais_deviation":{"vessels_at_anchor":2,"delta_vessels_24h":-1.0,"congestion_score":0.067,"data_age_hours":1.8,"port":"USSAV","deviation_factor":0.2},"berth_congestion":{"congestion_factor":0.2,"congestion_level":"LOW"},"blank_sailing":{"probability":0.12,"source":"historical_blank_rate_db","note":"lightweight — no DeepSeek inference"},"rate_volatility":{"volatility_factor":0.12,"source":"blank_sailing_proxy","note":"FBX unavailable — estimated from blank sailing probability"}},"scoring":{"sea_intel_weight":0.3,"ais_deviation_weight":0.25,"berth_congestion_weight":0.2,"blank_sailing_weight":0.15,"rate_volatility_weight":0.1,"n_factors":5,"weight_coverage":1.0,"sea_intel_score":0.687,"ais_deviation_factor":0.2,"berth_congestion_factor":0.2,"blank_sailing_probability":0.12,"rate_volatility_factor":0.12},"pricing":{"tier":"full","price_usd":2.0,"tier_trigger":"n_factors_5_gte_3"},"generated":"2026-10-18T22:14:27Z","alternative_carriers":[{"carrier":"GEMINI","reliability_score":87,"on_time_baseline_pct":98.0,"action":"preferred alternative"},{"carrier":"HAPAG","reliability_score":80,"on_time_baseline_pct":72.2,"action":"preferred alternative"}],"urgency":"LOW","action_window":"monitor"}},"upgrade":{"full_signals":"https://datasig.ai/signals/","pricing":"https://datasig.ai/signals/my-pricing","mcp":"npm install @datasig/mcp"},"early_adopter":{"active":true,"discount":"30% off all signals","expires":"2026-09-21","message":"Early adopter pricing active. First 10 calls at 30% discount."}}